There is a distinct difference in the resumes of teams in the top ten and outside of it. The teams inside the top ten have racked up a bunch of quality wins and don't have many losses but after that.... Teams are taking a lot of losses and picking off big wins here or there. There are a lot of good teams in the mix, in fact, a few that you really wouldn't want to play in the NCAA playoff! Would anyone want to play Loyola or Towson in the first round?
At this point in the season, we are getting a large enough sample size for the rankings to reflect teams abilities. Before, performance may have exceeded expectations or teams may have underperformed. Now, as the season has gone on, the actual ability is represented well by the actual performance of teams over time. Army is a great example. They were highly ranked at the beginning of the season due to their win over Syracuse, but I don't think many people viewed Army as a top ten team. As the season played out, they have taken losses and settled into a spot in the rankings where they probably should be.
You can now also look at the rankings and for the most part say, that the higher ranked teams will most likely beat the teams behind them. UVA and UNC are great examples. They are very good, they would probably beat the teams ranked behind them in the poll. They have a bunch of losses, but to teams that are ranked higher than them.
One goal game can easily go the other way. If Cuse is not careful, their season with weeks at the top could end too early come playoff time. They will need to learn to put teams away, letting St John's and Binghamton hang around is scary. If they lost to one of those teams, their spot in the rankings would be much different.
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Team | Quality Wins | Losses | This Week | Rationale | |
1 | Cuse | Albany, UVA, Hopkins, Duke, ND, UNC | Army | W 9-8 Binghamton | 1g games can easliy go the other way!!! |
2 | Ohio St | Denver, Towson, Hopkins, Maryland | ND, Penn St | W 11-10 Maryland | 3 Top Ten Wins |
3 | Denver | ND, Towson, Air Force, Duke | UNC, Ohio St | W 12-2 Providence | Beat Duke |
4 | Duke | Loyola, Richmond, UNC, ND, UVA | Air Force, Denver, Cuse | W 11-7 Marquette | Hot, & Air Force loss doesnt look as bad now |
5 | ND | Maryland, UVA, OSU, UNC | Denver, Cuse, Duke | W 14-13 UNC | Beat Maryland Head-to-Head |
6 | Maryland | UNC, Penn St, Albany, Rutgers | ND, Nova, OSU | L 11-10 OSU | Still top team, strong wins! |
7 | Hopkins | Loyola,UNC, UVA, Rutgers, Penn St | Towson, Princeton, Cuse, OSU | W 19-9 Michigan | 5 Big Wins and Dominated Michigan, 2 bad L's, 2 L's to #1&2 |
8 | Penn State | Ohio St, Nova, Rutgers | Maryland, Hopkins | W 13-7 Rutgers | Quality wins needed to prove just how good they are |
9 | Albany | Yale | Cuse, Maryland | W 13-12 Yale, W 10-4 Bing | 1g Losses to #1 big win over earned over Yale |
10 | Hofstra | UNC,Princeton | Drexel | W 15-8 UMass | It pays not to take losses |
11 | Yale | Princeton, Nova | Maryland, Bryant, UMass, Albany | L 13-12 Albany | 1g loss to #9 Albany helps validate Yale's ability |
12 | UNC | Denver, UVA | Hofstra, Hop, Rich, Maryland, Duke, Cuse, ND | L 14-13 Notre Dame | UNC is a very good team, all L's are to teams ranked ahead of them accept Rich |
13 | UVA | Loyola, Richmond | UPenn, Cuse, ND, Hop, UNC, Duke | Losses against stong teams with a couple good wins, UVA could win the ACC, who knows? | |
14 | Loyola | Towson, Army | UVA, Hopkins, Duke, Bucknell, BU | W 14-6 Army | Other than Bucknell, losses arent that bad |
15 | Rutgers | Army, Princeton | UDel, Hopkins, Maryland, PSU | L 13-7 PSU | Averaging out thier w's & l's, this is where they stand |
16 | Richmond | UNC | Duke, UVA, Air Force | L 9-7 Air Force | AIr Force loss pushes them back, another good win would have helped |
17 | Army | Cuse, BU | Rutgers, Navy, Loyola | L 14-6 Loyola | Cuse win held them up at the start of the season |
18 | Princeton | Hopkins | Hofstra, Rutgers, Yale, Lehigh | W 12-9 Harvard | Would be higher if they didnt take a loss at Lehigh |
19 | Towson | Hopkins | Loyola, Ohio St, Denver, Fairfield | L 9-8 Fairfield | Would be higher if they didnt take a loss at Fairfield |
20 | Air Force | Duke, Richmond | Denver, Marist, BU, Marquette, Furman | W 9-7 Richmond | Duke and Richmond wins put them in even with some tough L's |
In the Mix | |||||
Villanova | Maryland | Monmouth, Yale, Penn St, Del, Denver | W 18-3 St Johns | ||
Michigan | 0 | ND, Maryland, Rutgers, OSU, Hopkins | L 19-9 Hopkins | ||
Boston U | Loyola, Air Force | Bucknell, Lehigh, Army | W 12-11 Holy Cross | ||
Monmouth | Nova | St Joe's, Del, Hofstra | W 11-6 Canisus | ||
Just out of the Mix | |||||
Delaware | Rutgers, Nova | Buck,Navy,Binghamton, UMass, Hofstra, Towson, Drexel | L 14-9 Drexel | ||
Binghamton | 0 | Marsit, UMBC, Albany, Cuse | L 9-8 Cuse, L Albany 10-4 | ||
Providence | 0 | Hofstra, BU, Denver, Brown | L 12-2 Denver, L 13-12 Brown |